Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QNT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 49.754790 55.898865 62.297715 69.441813 77.177604 85.283836 94.402843
2024-10-27 38.089905 46.724764 56.286869 67.583056 80.483198 94.677082 111.394448
2024-11-03 33.872881 44.068822 55.823860 70.217986 87.203451 106.446345 129.725620
2024-11-10 30.143894 41.334316 54.702077 71.583900 92.061584 115.826558 145.207512
2024-11-17 26.556735 38.272230 52.738617 71.529977 94.893742 122.589727 157.482167
2024-11-24 24.784427 37.255117 53.086984 74.133497 100.828272 133.012270 174.164543
2024-12-01 22.190773 34.875162 51.451614 74.017707 103.222993 139.032936 185.497099
2024-12-08 19.652331 32.310122 49.338299 73.067028 104.382718 143.405021 194.744012
2024-12-15 17.784457 30.497293 48.063535 73.066681 106.646439 149.091970 205.617407
2024-12-22 16.142517 28.851797 46.875995 73.056682 108.803352 154.594940 216.266621
2024-12-29 15.527168 28.675431 47.705826 75.784333 114.608651 164.847425 233.082950
2025-01-05 14.459912 27.704485 47.313612 76.748087 118.009167 171.985840 245.965515
2025-01-12 13.333336 26.575534 46.659412 77.355619 121.002065 178.742750 258.617501
2025-01-19 11.664042 24.411268 44.321697 75.420187 120.392107 180.675742 264.974523
2025-01-26 11.305736 24.408701 45.257764 78.264378 126.494164 191.666712 283.400797
2025-02-02 10.666729 23.859657 45.295960 79.746965 130.669590 200.091913 298.510349
2025-02-09 9.755807 22.740627 44.353605 79.688161 132.597528 205.444604 309.543797
2025-02-16 9.501049 22.794208 45.292728 82.508327 138.726053 216.645343 328.588899
2025-02-23 8.701041 21.750274 44.362540 82.382937 140.519302 221.839665 339.526801
2025-03-02 7.812565 20.443846 42.907044 81.353378 140.914779 225.046966 347.751445
2025-03-09 7.176678 19.572261 42.132446 81.353001 142.810355 230.358198 358.899541
2025-03-16 6.592824 18.745706 41.380812 81.342172 144.660992 235.603632 369.992201
2025-03-23 6.493119 18.934869 42.431549 84.295448 151.065978 247.429351 390.365832